Today is the conjunction of a multiplicity of recent phenomena.
All effect of the evolution of history. Stand out; Financialization, 4th industrial revolution, Quantum, Astrophysics, Big Data, VR (Virtual Reality), AI (Artificial Intelligence), IoT (Internet of Things), Nanotechnology, Digitalization of the Economy, Blockchain.
All of them are avalanches whose scale, speed and effects far exceed our current institutional level at the planetary level. At the present rate the examples of economies of the planet that adopt and adapt are scarce or at least subtly discordant with the current policies of order and global economic and political management. In my case, seeing an avalanche always causes fear.
That is why societies should try to adapt and foresee these avalanches metaphorically by working the escarpments and snow accumulations for a controlled overflow that moves away from human settlements. Otherwise the avalanches will sweep the way of life of those who do not foresee these imminent risks in adaptation logic and mechanical evolution.
Here we also leave two lines about the fact that by working metaphorically, the scarpings and accumulations of snow, this can lead us to control means that dehumanize our economic-social and cultural forms as to allow their harmonious deployment and expansion according to man and his well-being.
The avalanches, somehow, similar to the effects caused by growth pains, also respond to energetic dynamics of very sudden occurrence, sometimes predictable, sometimes not.
As an example, and on a local scale, of one of the great avalanches that have passed through Chile, we can see the discovery of synthetic saltpeter at the beginning of the 20th century. Only half a century before such discovery, in 1879, a war for natural resources had regional reach and its results redefined the borders and geopolitics of the region. Chile faced an economic and social development of prosperity and wealth, however, all this had to be postponed another century at least, now based on another mineral, copper.
Phobos and Deimos
Phobos, fear; and Deimos, fear. Gentlemen of our mind, ancestral rulers shape our social forms and even though little by little we seem to set them aside we only modify our fears and with it our cultures.
In that sense, ours is a culture mainly mining and driving the national growth of Chile in the last 50 or 60 years based on copper. So much so, that Chile currently accounts for about a quarter of all world mined copper.
But the uses of copper at this point in the 21st century are threatened. And Chile with him. Let's see:
7% of the current global consumption of copper feeds the Transport sector with an important part of components and parts of automobiles, airplanes, trains, engines in general and ICT electronic components.
Another 25% of copper is used in construction, and even when in piping, pipes, it is a relatively extended standard, there are new materials that are already able to supply the copper service at competitive prices, even in distribution of sanitary or industrial hot water (as is already the case with some district heating systems, extended use in countries n rich).
But it is 65% of all world copper mined, refined and processed that ends in electrical applications. Basically for transmission of electrical energy in large distribution networks. Here is a risk and cause of fear.
More than 15 years ago, experiments involving the transmission of electrical energy wirelessly already showed promising results by being able to light a diode without wires and with power sources located at one meter away.
Today the technology already has a name and is known as Wireless Power Transmission or Wireless Electric Transmission that is based on concepts such as magnetic inductive coupling and resonant coupling. Magnetic induction, or magnetic inductive coupling, ideas that we should thank Nikola Tesla, are the fundamental basis for new small-scale applications and commercially available in wireless charging systems of cell phones and speakers or wireless speakers.
Let these experiments allow a couple of decades of development and another couple of adoption so that in 50 or 60 years at the most 100, this current 65% of copper use becomes zero.
However, it is expected that approximately 90% of the use we give to copper today will soon be reserved for design applications on handles and handrails, crafts or ornaments of industrial design.
At least, this time, we know we have lithium. Its potential in energy storage applications, both at home and in electric vehicles is very high. Hopefully if you permeate everyone this time.
Fortunately, most of the time, our fears only respond to ignorance.
200 years ago Malthus failed to model that in a few years Humanity would face global famines such as to disrupt the entire economic scaffolding of the world. It had little and very new information, otherwise, not collected properly or from rigorous sources.
Fears mutate, barely discovered the trap only mutate. While those born 100 years or shortly after, lived with the fear of the Bomb, their children and grandchildren have lived the fear of ecological disaster. Today, surfing incipiently in the era of Big Data, we have made progress in predicting complex phenomena with amazing, and almost bleak, mastery, potentially making scenarios, and fear, of invasive control systems or violations of privacy.
It is very certain that what I glimpse is covered with veils that I cannot get through at all; but they are thin veils that, in my opinion, already show certain silhouettes and shapes in the backlight, some of them cause fear.
On a global scale, the impact and progress of increasing automation, of post-industrialized ways of living, of the digitization of economies and of the advancement and development of the information society, among others, will bring first and very short-term transformation Total type of work we will do.
We already know that today we require an infinite amount of work that did not exist until less than a decade ago. Imagine that high exponentially added to the fact that not long after we will witness the massive displacement of large masses of workers replaced by increasing automation.
In less than a century, most likely, large labor masses will be replaced by robots of all kinds. Being optimistic, hopefully, only half of the current workforce will be displaced and will be unemployed forever. In a completely pessimistic and perhaps more realistic scenario, at least three quarters of the workforce will be displaced and replaced by machines.
So then, societies, and economies and culture will necessarily have undergone gradual changes in how to adapt to these changes and be able to continue expressing urban and industrial life forms in a peaceful way, hopefully with great development of the arts and A deep inner life.
Surely already in some model of industrial ecology, where in the pessimistic scenario a quarter of humanity - and in the optimistic half of those in capacity to work - will be in charge of operating, managing and maintaining all the transportation, production, distribution, housing, anyway, at that point,
watch:
, emerge from a new awareness in Gaia
Thus we will also see how in the pessimistic scenario 75%, or in the optimistic half, of the people capable of working will be outside the reduced labor market and in principle they will only participate in the system actively from consumption. This look is that of the system as a whole, but nuanced from our poor view of market amoeba and capital-labor mix in the proportions of abuse and exploitation to which we are accustomed so far but which will slowly mutate.
Well, from the point of view of people, this negative scenario, will be rather the best (from my humble point of view), because 75% of people between 18 and 70 will not work formally and will receive housing, food, transportation and health with the same quality as any of those who work.
From this remote shore of the future, and without the ability to really foresee the contributions that this group of supposedly displaced people will have to offer to the world and society, it is certainly and surely that they will do so, and in large quantities.
Somehow, in everything else, they will be the reason for the entire system. They will be subject to the use of housing, transportation, education and health services. At this point the provider of all this will be very different from the primitive nation-states, their market economies and democracies.
That is why I do not dare to say if there will be differences in the quality of housing, means of transport, type of health services, food or education for those in the circle or not of the workers who arrive as a social agreement in such possible future
The organization that assumes the global administration of a social economy of resources will do so by the way or facing new paradigms such as private property, money or capital whose meanings will move from the impossibility of conceptualizing such an idea in said future to mutations these incomprehensible to our current logic.
Even though we will need all the political imagination, moral generosity and technical creativity that we manage to deploy, it is clear that without a spiritual revolution that involves another mind (new vision) and a new heart (new sensibility) in vain we will seek merely scientific and technical solutions.
It is time to finally close the question of whether we compete or share the planetary resources necessary to support our vital needs and how they impact the delicate dynamic balance of planetary resources and our existence.
Let's go back to the lost path. Where were we? picking up the fallen
